How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
- I was curious how well the predictions of the most widely cited AI skeptic I've seen (Ed Zitron) have done, so I looked at how his predictions panned out.
- To disclose my own biases, I've never had a particularly strong pro or anti AI progress position.
- For example, in 2022, I did a comprehensive look at predictions Futurists made, including well-respected folks like Kurzweil and found them to be generally wrong on both the prediction results as well as the reasoning.
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- I was curious how well the predictions of the most widely cited AI skeptic I've seen (Ed Zitron) have done, so I looked at how his predictions panned out.
- To disclose my own biases, I've never had a particularly strong pro or anti AI progress position.
- For example, in 2022, I did a comprehensive look at predictions Futurists made, including well-respected folks like Kurzweil and found them to be generally wrong on both the prediction results as well as the reasoning.
Sources: Danluu